What Would Happen if China Invades Taiwan?
A major War Game simulation suggests some likely outcomes.
The year is 2026, and China has just launched an invasion of Taiwan.
What happens next was the subject of a comprehensive non-classified War Game simulation convened by the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Joining me on the podcast this week is the person who lead that War Game, Retired Marine Colonel and CSIS senior advisor Mark Cancian.
I’ll cut to the chase: After 24 iterations, the most probable outcome was the defeat of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, but at a staggeringly high cost to Taiwan and the United States.
We discuss the probable outcomes and scenarios in detail in this forthcoming episode of the podcast, available immediately to our community of premium subscribers.
The episode is freely available here. Transcript is below the paywall.
Thank you! And as always, let me know what you think.
Mark
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to Global Dispatches to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.